Sunday, May 05, 2013

Babies are not welcome in Japan?




"Without Babies, Can Japan Survive?" This is the question asked by the New York Times in a recent column. People aged 65 or over make up around a quarter of Japan’s approximately 128 million population. The elderly are expected to account for 40% of the population in 2060. Number of children aged 14 and under in Japan fell for the 32nd year standing at a birth record-low 16.49 million as of April 1 2013. Why would mothers have children? Are they encouraged to go with nature?

They are not respected by the nation's system which forces them not to work, stay home and wait for the husband, after his drinking and long chat at office or at hostess bar. Many women do not marry or share life with a partner or husband, spouse (watch out the gender thing in the outside world) and it is quite scary to watch girls spending life with their dog rather than their mate.

Exaggerated image?

Not so much, ask them, ask the Japanese women. How many have chosen not to marry, stay alone to be able to work after university studies and hard work, then rejected by men who fear their male colleagues reaction, and how many have given up their career because of their husband, society, parents in law pressure? Other social issues tend to join global society mood such as withdrawal, fear of sharing, society driven by adds rather than by ethics, common sense, no more constructed life, stronger individualisation and no more joy to share, bear and support - create a family, and for others the desire of a slow life? Add to this the fact there is not enough financial incentive for young parents to have children. In other words: Japan is not welcoming babies!

Too few kindergarten, too few nursery, corporations are way behind current western practices to help young mothers, I have never seen nursery in a normal Japanese company. The state does not provide attractive incentives in spite of politicians declarations and Japan's moaning about its horrifying low birthrate. Women give up, they try one child and carry on working duty, asking the mother to help until a certain age, or spend huge amount of money 100.000 ¥ a month, often half or one third of her income to take care of her baby in a private nursery. Basically it's Middle Ages demographic policy. Isn't it something to see with lack of imagination, conservatism, no social innovation, low consideration for the woman? In a country said to be created by the Goddess Amaterasu... Red face. The LDP has not encouraged the birth policy.

Of course if you are a rich Japanese, you can afford private institutions to secure your kids earlier years and to secure a retirement house for the elders. But it is expensive and you have to be rich to afford what is "natural" in advanced nations. So, for ordinary Japanese, the majority of the Japanese, the so-called middle class, it's sacrifice as usual for something they can't and will never be able to afford. Where does it lead the society?

3 solutions writes the NYT: "First, the government must create more subsidised public day care centres, which would make child care more affordable for more people. Second, companies must dismantle old systems that promote employees on seniority, rather than skills. These antiquated practices hold down young workers’ salaries and keep the labor market too rigid. And companies should discourage overtime work so that employees have more time with their families. Third, both the government and companies should encourage more women to enter the labor force with high-quality jobs on a par with men and offer incentives to women to return to work after childbirth. In places where these sorts of reforms have taken hold, from France to Sweden, the result has been a boost to the birthrate and the economy."

Japan’s birthrate today is just 1.39 children per woman. France, Sweden have addressed these arduous points and answered thanks to what remains of a benevolent social and health performing system.






Quotes: "Without Babies, Can Japan Survive?"
Images: Today com, JLK

Wednesday, May 01, 2013

Secretive aid to Africa...




I doubt the authors of this report "Chinese Development Finance in Africa Roughly Equal to US Assistance" http://rdd.me/j34m60ch really and accurately know about Africa. The idea is good but they seem to use a poor methodology: "The database draws upon thousands of news reports on Chinese-backed projects in Africa from 2000 to 2011" therefore often inaccurate and non actualised data, and in the end this report, started with a good idea but ended with mediocre result. It fits the mood of a massive neo colonial interest for human resources and minerals of Africa not for aid to Africa's development.

The focus of this US funded project for the way China handles its aid to Africa is set in motion with this comment: "... Further analysis of the media reports of Chinese-backed projects may eventually yield insights into such controversial questions as to what extent Chinese assistance to the region is focused on natural resource extraction, and whether Chinese activities complement or compete with assistance from other donors."

The difficulty to assess the situation of such aid to Africa is roughly admitted here: "Further complicating matters, Chinese package financing often brings together agreements that mix aid, investment, export credits, and both concessional and non-concessional financing. Chinese state-owned enterprises also blur the line between official government finance and private flows." I am amazed to read that this report has been repeated everywhere, of course it is a Washington based report!

TICAD V is approaching. Still a lot of misunderstanding by US, Chinese and Japanese about how African nations think, conceive, achieve.

Some watchers also wonder whether Japan contrary to China will offer the sufficient tools for development to its African partners? Does it fit the needs of African nations, one by one, or as a whole, or is it going to be a way for digging further more into Africa's rich soil, as usual, sending their NGO's as intelligence agencies' spooks for the benefit of Japan corporations.

In the end the whole motion will obliterate the aim of development of people and nations to a mere rush for a quick profit. Same as China is doing filling the suitcases of African leaders with cash after a juicy's visit to Beijing.

"While official ODA from Western countries and some major developing countries is openly reported and easily tabulated, Chinese aid [to Africa] has been much more difficult to track, said creators of the database, china aid-data org http://aiddatachina.org

"China treats its aid activities as a state secret".
http://rdd.me/bn7wpcuo.

About this Center for Global Development (CGD) in Washington's report, read the French presentation in "Jeune Afrique"
http://rdd.me/sloknnry.

Now an interesting counter report, quite informative here "China in Africa: The Real Story". "The main problem is that the teams that have been collecting the data and their supervisors simply don't know enough about China in Africa, or how to check media reports"
http://rdd.me/wkytup6u



Sunday, April 28, 2013

Japan "Sovereignty Day" celebration or humiliation?

In Asia, Cold War history and treaties remain tumultuous times

Demonstration in Ginowan, Okinawa, April 28

"Sovereignty Anniversary a Day of Celebration, or Humiliation?" That's the title of the Wall Street Journal today: "As Prime Minister Shinzo Abe led a ceremony Sunday to commemorate Japan’s return to independence from U.S. occupation after World War II, a flame of anger erupted in the southern island prefecture of Okinawa." 

Earlier  April 28 this Editorial of the Japan Times: "Japan ceremony an affront to Okinawans" 69.9 % of polled didn't support the ceremony… former Chief Cabinet Secretary Hiromu Nonaka said in a recent interview with Ryukyu Shimpo and Okinawa Times: “I am afraid that this ceremony will serve as a step to change the shape of Japan and to open the door for changing the Constitution...” most politicians do not know the cruelty of war and these politicians are trying to change the Constitution including its Article 9. " EoQ.

Here is Japanese TV ANN news Evening news screen copy April 28, 2013. A recent poll by a local Okinawa media found that about 70% of respondents opposed the ceremony in Tokyo, and about 60% said Okinawan prefectural officials shouldn’t attend. Okinawa Gov. Hirokazu Nakaima did not attend the ceremony.


Here is the ceremony with the Imperial couple and the nationalist prime minister Abe with deputy prime minister Taro Aso (also a nationalist) celebrating the Treaty of San Francisco April 28 which infuriated majority of the Okinawans.

 
Prime minister Abe speech

Some wonder if: "sovereignty really came back to Okinawa and to Japan." Abroad, among countries who suffered from the Pacific War, neither the Republic of China in Taiwan nor the People's Republic of China in mainland China were invited to the signature of San Francisco Peace Treaty because of the Chinese Civil War and the controversy over which government was legitimate. On August 15, 1951 and September 18, 1951 the People's Republic of China published statements denouncing the treaty, stating that it was illegal and should not be recognised. Russia, then the Soviet Union's objections were detailed in a lengthy September 8, 1951 statement by Gromyko. The statement contained a number of Soviet Union's claims and assertions: that the treaty did not provide any guarantees against the rise of Japanese militarism...

Futenma in Ginowan city, Okinawa


How to illustrate the extremely tense situation between Okinawa and the rest of Japan, between the injured hearts of Okinawans and Washington? To find out I have just been flying to Okinawa this month of April to see how Okinawa could be a target for North Korea, about opposition of Okinawa to US military bases and the noisy take-off of US Air Force jets, and to discover current issues of social and cultural life of this strategic island. Here is my news-report aired from Naha, "en Français" on RTL Monde news, program anchored from Paris by Daniel Férin.

http://www.rtl.fr/emission/rtl-monde/ecouter/rtl-monde-du-07-avr-2013-7760168718



The "hawkish" prime minister Shinzo Abe consider that such a "Sovereignty Day" ceremony would help younger Japanese "recognise" that the country regained independence following seven years of postwar occupation by US forces after its surrender. "We should particularly bear in mind the fact that the administrative rights over Okinawa, which experienced, he said, brutal ground battles and suffered an immense toll, were separated from Japan for the longest period of time. Any casual statement would be meaningless in light of the sufferings that the people of Okinawa endured, and were forced to conceal, both during and after the war..."

Friday, April 26, 2013



"The importance of staying mission ready"
U.S. General Martin E. Dempsey



General Martin E. Dempsey


The highest-ranking U.S. military officer, Army General Martin E. Dempsey, the 18th chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, visits Japan as part of his tour of the Pacific region.

In his speeches General Dempsey highlighted that the U.S. will: "stay true to our current alliances and try to build relationship with others." He said the world benefits from the security provided by the U.S. military and its allies, and that it is important to maintain and gain international relationships, despite the current budget constraints."

U.S. presence throughout the globe won't be affected, especially in the Pacific, he added that the U.S. will continue to deter adversaries and assure allies when and where needed.

He gave a speech at the invitation of Japan Ministry of Defence addressed to the highest military officers and researchers with a Q & A I attended, mostly an accurate review of today's global security, with special chapters about Asia,  North Korea, he did not name China... in opponent terms, and also about Middle East and Africa, interesting references about military technology such as communication and weapons systems, with the interactions of various nations forces, and touched also about the implications of budget cuts. Point is: "staying mission ready!"




Japan Ministry of Defence invitees



Quotes cf. DoD site: "U.S. alliances in the Pacific with Japan, South Korea, Australia, the Philippines and Thailand are strong partnerships, and the foundation of America’s Asia–Pacific strategy, he said. “They underpin a growing network of increasingly important trilateral and multilateral relationships and forums,” the chairman added. “When you ally with the United States, you ally with the region.” Dempsey said such alliances bring capacity, capability and credibility what he called the combining force, or aikido of U.S. relationships in the Asia-Pacific region. “It is what gives us the agility to respond to everything from a natural disaster to a dangerous dictator,” he added. The U.S.–Japanese alliance, with a strong mutual defense treaty and built-in interoperability, exemplifies aikido, he said. “We’re prioritizing trade and commerce, diplomacy and development,” not just in Northeast Asia, but in Southeast Asia and across the region.  [Answers during Q&A, 1 Q about North Korea] : “Since it is my professional military judgment that we are in a period of prolonged provocation by North Korea, not cyclic,” Dempsey said, “I think … we should see this as an opportunity to become interoperable, in particular in those domains where we see the threat evolving.”EoQ (Edited Apr 27).


François Hollande en Chine, sourd aux cris des prisonniers d'opinions?




Rideau. "Service minimum" pour les droits de l'homme en Chine lors de la visite Hollande. Envoyez leur Edwy Plenel la prochaine fois... Etonnante, l'attitude de la Chine, arrogante lors de la visite Hollande, Chine manquant d'indécence sur les questions politiques, la liberté d'expression des citoyens, bref vous savez, les droits de l'homme. ONG déçues. Une France toute petite devant une grosse Chine qui n'écoute pas, impériale, qui fait passer ses intérêts économiques, familiaux, ethniques avant et contre tout et tous. Etat central dépassé ou contraint?

La Chine inquiète, elle devient sourde, même bien au-delà de la zone Asie. Ce voyage n'a rien d'autre à offrir que vendre du pâté et des intentions d'achats, des commandes louables, et le pillage technologique dont on reparlera amèrement d'ici quelques années? Il restait une option typiquement dans les valeurs françaises à défendre Je n'ai pas entendu monsieur Hollande s'exprimer sur la libération du prix Nobel de la Paix Liu Xiaobo lors de son audition par le régime de Pékin? Il aurait pourtant été simple de poser des questions et de le faire avec la même sévérité que la Chine s'y emploie pour déstabiliser ceux qui "osent" la questionner, depuis l'ouest, de l'Asie, de l'Afrique, du Moyen Orient...?

Exemple: "Demander publiquement la libération de Liu Xiaobo et la fin du maintien forcé à domicile de son épouse Liu Xia. Exprimer le souhait de la France de voir le gouvernement chinois ouvrir de véritables négociations avec les autorités tibétaines. Encourager le gouvernement chinois à démanteler le système de rééducation par le travail comme annoncé en début d’année."
(Human Rights Watch)

Et libérer Internet!

In "Chinese Taxpayers Fund Labor Camp System"

Thursday, April 25, 2013


Arnaud Montebourg au Japon vient resserrer les boulons avant la visite présidentielle





Arnaud Montebourg, ministre français du Redressement productif, est venu surveiller quelques dossiers sensibles avant l'arrivée de Laurent Fabius et François Hollande au Japon.

Visite au Japon d'Arnaud Montebourg, pendant trois jours, le ministre du Redressement productif dans le gouvernement Jean-Marc Ayrault est venu constater la passion des japonais pour l'industrie mais il a également écouté les industriels français afin d'étoffer les partenariats économiques et industriels franco japonais et clarifier des dossiers, exemple avec le partenariat Nissan Renault qui bat de l'aile, Nissan issu de la Renaissance renâcle face au francais Renault et ses problèmes, exemple avec la nomination annoncée de l'ex ministre japonaise de la défense madame Yuriko Koiké au conseil d'administration de Renault SA etc, tout cela intervient dans la perspective de la prochaine visite du président Hollande au Japon dans 1 mois.

VDO JL Tokyo 23 Avril 2013  http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=N3aR1zbepe4


Tuesday, April 23, 2013


A propos des néo-conservateurs japonais de monsieur Shinzo Abe 



Sur la visite aujourd'hui au sanctuaire Shinto du Yasukuni dédié aux victimes japonaises des guerres coloniales du Japon par ces 168 politiciens néo-conservateurs du PLD présidé par le premier ministre Shinzo Abe, j'ai ressenti et entendu ce soir une impression de totale incompréhension des japonais que je croise dans la rue. Stupidité de se mettre les chinois et les coréens à dos pour les uns, flatter les égos d'une certaine classe politique dont les ancêtres ont eu maille à partir avec les procès de Tokyo d'après guerre pour les autres. Une façon de bomber le torse en sachant que de toute évidence si un conflit survenait les Américains liés au Japon par un Traité de Sécurité Militaire assumerait la défense de leur allié. Je crois que cette fois les chinois vont être vraiment très vexés et j'attends une réaction. L'affaire des Iles Senkaku Diaoyu remonte en surface également ce jour comme dans une manœuvre bien organisée puisque près de 80 de ces néo conservateurs nippons ont organisé en ce début de semaine une croisière "patriotique" sous le nez des vaisseaux des Coast Guard japonais et chinois.

Mais ce qui m'a stupéfait aujourd'hui lors d'une interview avec l'un de ces néo-conservateurs, c'est l'émotion et l'humiliation aujourd'hui encore de ressentir la défaite et le bombardement atomique de 1945 sur Hiroshima et Nagasaki et par ailleurs l'entêtement et la justification des occupations de la Chine et de la Corée! Un sérieux travail d'éducation politique s'impose au Japon 68 ans après la fin de la seconde guerre mondiale et la guerre du Pacifique. Ce que ne font pas les manuels scolaires nippons.

Les Américains ont ils poussé trop loin les encouragements permettant au Japon de se remilitariser lentement, s'agit il pour ceux qui ont mis Shinzo Abe au pouvoir de flatter l'électorat ultra conservateur et mobiliser la conscience nationale avec évocation des souvenirs du Japon imperial et colonial en vue des Sénatoriales de Juillet? Agiter le chiffon rouge devant les chinois et les coréens sur des souvenirs dont l'Asie porte encore des marques de souffrances est un acte politique irresponsable me disait un vieux résident britannique que je croisais aujourd'hui dans Tokyo...

Monday, April 22, 2013

L'AIEA critique les systèmes de sécurité de TEPCO  sur FUKUSHIMA 



Fukushima: Après la visite cette semaine des experts de l'AIEA (ONU), le chef de mission Juan Carlos Lentijo [photo] a critiqué aujourd'hui devant la presse internationale les systèmes dits "essentiels" de sécurité de la société électrique Tepco sur le site de Dai Ichi.


Une troisième évaluation de Dai Ichi vient d'être faite 2 ans après l'accident nucléaire. Or, le site de Dai Ichi enregistre depuis quelques mois une succession de fuites d'eaux très radioactives disséminées dans le sous-sol et l'océan Pacifique.

Face aux dilemmes posés par l'ampleur des opérations de déclassement de Fukushima Dai Ichi, sur 30 voire 40 ans, ce sont toutes les industries japonaises du nucléaire et le gouvernement Abe qui sont placés d'ores et déjà dans une situation délicate en raison de la défiance croissante de l'opinion publique japonaise pour l'énergie atomique.

L'AIEA rendra son rapport d'évaluation dans un mois.

[Photo ©Joel Legendre 2013
Today at Foreign Press Center Japan]

Tuesday, April 16, 2013

NATO Secretary General Anders Fogh Rasmussen in Tokyo

 Anders Fogh Rasmussen


Nato Sec. Gal. Anders Fogh Rasmussen in Tokyo to sign a joint declaration to ensure closer bilateral ties and to ensure cooperation to combat "emerging security challenges." He had meetings with Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, Minister of Foreign Affairs Fumio Kishida, Minister of Defence Itsunori Onodera and members of the Japanese Parliament at the Diet to discuss NATO's partnership with Japan, especially here to request financial aid.


Monday, April 15, 2013


Pyongyang : dernier épisode de la guerre froide? 






Tokyo lundi, une page d'histoire ou "business as usual", les USA se disent ouverts à des négociations avec la Corée du Nord! John Kerry appelle Pyongyang à faire un pas vers des pourparlers sur fond de lancement de missiles et essais nucléaires par Kim Jong-un occupé par des célébrations dynastiques nord coréennes tandis que le sud de la péninsule et le Japon préparent leurs troupes au pire!

Mais le secretaire d'Etat américain ajoute que les US ne toléreront jamais une Corée du Nord dotée de l'arme nucléaire. Obama n'avait rien fait sur la Corée du Nord durant son premier mandat. Il a mis en marche sa puissante administration. Clinton a essayé, les américains lui ont préféré alors Georges Bush.

Je note au passage que les requêtes de dépenses du renseignement militaire américain (Military Intelligence Program MIP) pour 2014 sont de 14,6 milliards de $. Encore une inconnue dans le budget US, celui des opérations extérieures (Overseas Contingency Operations OCO). L'an dernier 2013 les budgets MIP et OCO étaient de 21,5 milliards de $. (~16 milliards EUR)

Carrot and stick...